Have any of you actually wondered how will Windows XP die?
When I bought my most recent computer, I was actually debating on getting a PC or a Mac. My choice was the PC, with WinXP-pro, the reason: Games. Come to think about it, my old Windows98 computer still works to perfection, to this date, I haven't found a task that WinXP will do better than Win98, with the exception of games.
There is one feature that looks appealing, that is, increased system security. But as I have discovered, there's no threat that third party applications can't handle, and for the most part, those applications are free in their most basic ways. When I feel like using a different interface, or if I want to add that extra sense of security, I just reboot and load FC5. No sweat, it only takes about 30 seconds.
I think there are really no reasons for me to change to Vista, so I can conclude my WindowsXP won't die.... That is, as long as they keep making games for it, or as long as my hardware supports it.
So my forecast is that high end games will actually kill Windows XP in the future. Maybe Microsoft already knows that, and that's why they created FSX, to show us gamers that sooner or later we will need to upgrade that hardware(FSX looks bad even with a 256MB GPU. DX10 promises to solve the issues, but that's designed for Vista...), and Windows XP will not be able to keep up with those upgrades.
As far as non-gamers: I think the launch of Vista is actually a great opportunity for Mac to catch up. Windows XP users will stop getting support from Microsoft(dunno when, but it will happen). That will make a lot of people migrate to something else. Maybe apple is starting to realize that, and perhaps that's why we are seeing those funky ads comparing the PC guy and the Macintosh guy. The day Vista comes out, the add will probably be the PC guy trying to be just like the Mac guy in a ridiculous way.
Well, those are my thoughts. Anyone that has a different point of view, please share it.